Doyin Okupe, a former spokesperson on Public Affairs to ex-President Goodluck Jonathan, has explained why it is possible that the North may rule Nigeria forever.
According to Okupe, the inability of states in the South to unite irrespective of their differences presents the North the opportunity to rule Nigeria “for perpetuity.”
Okupe was reacting to a comment by the Acting Chairman of Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF), Musa Liman Kwande, that Northerners would vote for a presidential candidate from the region in 2023.
In a post on his Facebook page, the former Presidential spokesperson wrote: “The Chairman of the Arewa Forum recently declared that in 2023 the North will vote for a Northern candidate irrespective of political party considerations. Many southerners are upset at this audacity and blame it on the failure of southern politicians to form a political united front. ”
“Truth and reality is that the south cannot easily be united. The odds favors the North. NW the highest voting population is virtually homogeneous.
The NE though may differ in tongue and to some extent culturally, still will always find common ground with the NW based on religion and language.
“The technical buffer zone the NC is largely disparate essentially haven little in common.
“The south – SS, SW, and SE – are majorly distinct sub-nationalities with the exception of SS which like NC, are stand-alone tribes or clusters of nationalities.
“A Yoruba presidency has little or no direct benefit to a Delta indigene from Warri, or Izon from Yenagoa, or an Ibo man from Umuahia. So, even if the leadership of the South can spin off a semblance of political unity, it will be difficult to translate it into votes by the local electorates.
“In truth, it is actually unfair to expect such unity as may be found among the Northern political elites.
“Nigeria, therefore, as politically constituted and with the adopted political format is intrinsically inequitable and not sustainable. The North can in theory, exploit the present situation and rule in perpetuity, but how long it can hold the nation-state together, will be the major challenge.”
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